Selected publications by Paul Fischbeck

To request a copy of a paper, please email pf12 [at]

Bruine de Bruin, W., Fischbeck, P.S., Stiber, N.A., & Fischhoff, B. (2002). What number is “fifty-fifty”?: Distributing excessive 50% responses in elicited probabilities. Risk Analysis, 22, 725-735.

Florig, H.K., Morgan, M.G., Morgan, K.M. , Jenni, K.E., Fischhoff, B., Fischbeck, P.S., and DeKay, M.L. (2001). A Deliberative Method for Ranking Risks (I): Overview and Test-Bed Development. Risk Analysis, 21, 913-921.

Morgan, K.M., DeKay, M.L., Fischbeck, P.S., Morgan, M.G., Fischhoff, B., and Florig, H.K. (2001). A Deliberative Method for Ranking Risks (II): Evaluation of Validity and Agreement among Risk Managers. Risk Analysis, 21, 923-937.

Morgan, M.G., Florig, H.K., DeKay, M.L., Fischbeck, P.S., and Morgan, K.M. (2000). Categorizing Risks for Risk Ranking. Risk Analysis, 20, 49-58.

Riley, D. M., B. Fischhoff, M. J. Small & P. S. Fischbeck, (2001). Evaluating the effectiveness of risk-reduction strategies for consumer chemical products, Risk Analysis, 21, 357-369.

Rode, D., B. Fischhoff & P. S. Fischbeck, (2000). Catastrophic Risk and Securities Design, Journal of Psychology and Financial Markets, 1, 111-126.

Hayakawa, H., P. S. Fischbeck, & B. Fischhoff, (2000) The Japanese Automobile Insurance Industry – Regulation, Market Structure and Possible Impacts of Deregulation, Journal of Insurance Regulation, 18, 385-403.

Hayakawa, H., P. S. Fischbeck, & B. Fischhoff, (2000). Traffic Accident Statistics and Risk Perceptions in Japan and the U.S.,” Accident Analysis & Prevention, 32, 827-35.

Hayakawa, H., P. S. Fischbeck, & B. Fischhoff, (2000) Automobile Risk Perceptions and Insurance-purchasing Decisions in Japan and the United States, Journal of Risk Research, 3, 51-67.

Morgan, M. G., H. K. Florig, M. L. DeKay, & P. S. Fischbeck, (2000) Categorizing Risks for Risk Ranking, Risk Analysis, 20, 49-58.

Vislosky, D. M. & P. S. Fischbeck, (2000) A Mental Model Approach Applied to R&D Decision Making, International Journal of Technology Management: Special Issue on Public Engineering Management, 19, 234-248.

Paté-Cornell, M. E.& Fischbeck, P.S. (1994). Risk Management for the Tiles of the Space Shuttle. Interfaces, 24, 1, 64-86.

Merz, J. F., Fischhoff, B., Mazur, D.J. & Fischbeck, P.S. (1993). A Decision-Analytic Approach to Developing Standards of Disclosure for Medical Informed Consent, Journal of Products & Toxic Liability, 15, 191-215.